Chris Gay
The Globe and Mail
BeatMarkets & political economy
StatusResearch open
→Vol. 01 Forecasts, with hindsight
Ten years later,
the receipts remain.
We revisit what financial journalists said a decade ago, compare it with what actually happened, and issue a verdict. Memory is generous. Archives are less so.
01 / Claims, not vibes◆02 / Public sources◆03 / Hindsight disclosed◆04 / Corrections welcome
The directory
Who said what, and then what happened.
Search the growing index by journalist, publication, beat or verdict.
Jim Cramer
CNBC · TheStreet
BeatMarkets, business & policy
StatusScored · 75
→Andrew Ross Sorkin
The New York Times
BeatWall Street, deals & corporate power
StatusScored · 83
→Gillian Tett
Financial Times
BeatInstitutions, business & society
StatusScored · 92
→Paul Krugman
The New York Times
BeatMacroeconomics, trade & policy
StatusScored · 75
→Doug Kass
Real Money · TheStreet
BeatMarket strategy, macro & sectors
StatusScored · 58
→Lex
Financial Times
BeatCompanies, markets & deal logic
StatusScored · 75
→Matt Levine
Bloomberg Opinion
BeatMarkets, corporate finance & financial machinery
StatusScored · 67
→The method
A long memory,
with footnotes.
- 1
Choose the sample
We identify a representative set of attributable articles in a fixed historical window. No cherry-picking the loudest clanger.
- 2
Extract the claim
Only falsifiable forecasts and clear directional claims count. “Markets face uncertainty” is filed under weather.
- 3
Check the world
We compare each claim with primary data and document both the outcome and the benefit of hindsight.
- 4
Publish the receipts
Every score shows its sources. Journalists and readers can challenge the evidence in threaded discussion.